About Global GDP
GDP is a measure of economic historic activity, reflecting the value of all the goods and services produced within a nation during one year. This value is calculated using a formula that includes three components: G (government spending), C (consumption) and I (investment). The measurement of a country’s GDP relies on recorded transactions, making it difficult to take into account the varying extent of informal or unrecorded economic activity. For example, under-the-table employment, underground market activity and unremunerated volunteer work are excluded from GDP, as they are difficult to quantify accurately. GDP also fails to take into account the societal benefits of quality improvements and the introduction of new products, which are not included in the calculation but can significantly enhance living standards.
Economic globalization has also concentrated production in a small number of regions around the world. As a result, a few nations and regions now drive the world’s entire GDP.
In a simple model, the surge and subsequent decline in deaths accounts for a relatively large part of the variation in GDP growth among advanced economies (AEs). However, in the case of emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs), variations in OSI and trade account for a much greater proportion of the variation. Moreover, the impact of US tariffs on GDP is expected to be larger for some EMDEs than others—depending on how they adjust to increased trade restrictions. This is because GDP relies on recorded transactions and official data, and does not take into account the varying extent of informal economic activity.